Quote:
Originally Posted by vwW12
That's the point of the quoted article: people who oppose U.S. drilling for U.S. oil with U.S. jobs cling on to only to the most pessimistic assumptions... because that's what suits their narrative. In fact, use of a mere 2,000 acres of the ANWR will yield about as much oil as we import daily from Kuwait and Saudi Arabia.
But OK, let's be darkly pessimistic. ANWR will only give you 1 million barrels/day, which is only half of what we import daily from Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. That not good enough for ya?
The facts are that the government today prohibits exploration, let alone extraction, in most of our seas, in our oil shales in Colorado and Utah, and in much of Alaska. I leave you a chart presented by U.S. Senator Larry Craig on the floor of the Senate:

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What will the 1 million barrels a day cost? If we can only recover the oil at, say, $500 a barrel, will there be any demand for it? That would be gasoline at over $15 a gallon.
ANWR is like the Bakken. There were people pulling numbers out of their butts saying there were 400 Billion barrels of oil in the Williston Basin. When the USGS, after years of study, said there are less than 4 billion recoverable, people refused to believe it. They apparently think WISHING that oil would pour out of the rocks will make it come true. It doesn't work that way.
It doesn't work that way with oil shale, either. People think there will be some magic process that will transform 'oily' rock into beautiful crude oil, without the intervening steps that use water at a ratio of 5:1, that need to heat the rock to 700F for three years, that won't need new power plants and reservoirs to get to the end product. Do you realize that the US has performed multiple experiments where they used nuclear bombs buried thousands of feet underground to try to release gas and oil out of the rock in western Colorado? No, it didn't work.
Take a look at the oil producing histories of Texas, Cantarell, North Sea. People really, really wish they still produced like they used to, but they don't. And all the technology in the world, and all the wishing doesn't change that. The oil is gone.
The bottom line is that oil exports from countries that can export have leveled off, and will soon begin a long gradual decline. At the same time, the world's population is continually rising. Something has to give. We can swiss cheese the earth in order to continue burning this precious gift wastefully, or we can bite the bullet and develop a different way to live now. Either way, we have to change, because one day we run out of oil.