Good to meet a fellow Colorado smart enthusiast! I attended the dealer invitation day in Denver at the end of July. The dealership GM was in attendance and pretty forthcoming with info on the waiting list. As of that date they had 400 reservations for Colorado; they were expecting a 2008 allocation of 250 cars, and had already reached that number of reservations as of the end of March.
Of course, two big unknowns remain: what will be the real allocation (depends on final number of dealers and total production allocation), and what will be the conversion rate of reservations into orders. It was mentioned that after each stop on the street smart tour they see a surge in reservations, but also a surge in cancellations.
Incidently, the same dealership is also the dealer candidate for Oregon, and in that market they already had 700 reservations....
Good to meet a fellow Colorado smart enthusiast! I attended the dealer invitation day in Denver at the end of July. The dealership GM was in attendance and pretty forthcoming with info on the waiting list. As of that date they had 400 reservations for Colorado; they were expecting a 2008 allocation of 250 cars, and had already reached that number of reservations as of the end of March.
Of course, two big unknowns remain: what will be the real allocation (depends on final number of dealers and total production allocation), and what will be the conversion rate of reservations into orders. It was mentioned that after each stop on the street smart tour they see a surge in reservations, but also a surge in cancellations.
Incidently, the same dealership is also the dealer candidate for Oregon, and in that market they already had 700 reservations....
Did they actually give you a copy of the list....or you just have a good memory?
In addition to Denver, I attended the steet smart event in Albuquerque. The word there was that NM was a "good" market for reservation holders, with the dealer having about one year's worth of reservations in the hopper. The tour had just come from AZ, and that was not so pretty; the dealer there already had enough reservations to take them into the third year's production allocation (i.e. 2010!). Both these events were in early July.
But again, the two big assumptions are initial allocation and order conversion rate. I just read on another thread that there may only be 40 dealers in 2008 but as many as 20,000 units. That's about twice as many cars per dealership as earlier estimates.
The dealership in Denver is Kuni Automotive. Kuni is a real top notch, highly rated organization, which hopefully bodes well for customer service. They have already started staffing up, selected the dealership location, etc. and plan to open for business in February 2008.
Just a wild guess here from a non-cryptographer. If you take the first five numbers and use them for a zip code in the general area of a potential dealer, does that work? Then the last 5 digits might be the actual release number (covering up to a 99,000 total). I'm sure it is much more sophisticated than that, but it seems that the three reservation numbers I've seen posted in these forums represent Louisiana (for a Mississippi reservation), Colorado and Jacksonville, Florida. All these are legitimate locations for dealerships. However, further study showed that the two members that might be connected to Colorado and Jacksonville are actually in Albany and DC. Oh well. On the same line of thinking, however, each of the three reservation numbers (if the last 5 digits represent the reservation numbers) begins with a "1". That would seem to be feasible. Not that this means anything, but it's always fun to play with numbers!
You may be on to something! The "zip code" (85912) in my reservation is for White Mountain Lake, Arizona, which I'm sure is a very nice little town. It is north east of Phoenix near Show Low, AZ and although probably not a candidate for a dealership, it IS out here near Las Vegas where I live.
And mine was recognized on March 20, 2007, #322571XXXX. Maybe the number sequence has something to do with the region of the US you live in or more appropriately, where you sit on the dealers list that will be closest to you geographically and who will be selling you your car when it becomes available. As time closes in on '08, it will be interesting to see what really happens here.
Not to throw a wrench in the works, but my reservation starts with 53021. This appears to be the zip code for somewhere called Fredonia, Wisconsin. No offence to any Fredonians who may be looking in but:
I don't think Fredonia's getting a smart dealership, ever.
It's a heck of a long drive from where I live in Colorado.
On the other hand, perhaps this is PAG's way of whittling down the waiting list a little .
Or the reservation numbers are essentially meaningless and PAG is just using them to mess with our heads, thus distracting us from nasty things like additional dealer markup .
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