Quote:
Originally Posted by Westfield 11
Really, other than the fact that this will never happen in your or my lifetime, nothing. Just playing devil's advocate.
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I don't know how old you are, but if you plan on living another 30 years you will see the end of personal transportation powered by gasoline refined from crude oil. Personal transport will be electric, fuel cell, biofuel, or synfuel. Crude oil will be reserved for jet fuel, diesel for commercial and military, home heating(very limited), agriculture, and raw material for making plastics and the like. Oil shale, oil sands, coal to oil, all of these have major challenges that will make it impossible to ever reach the 20 million barrel a day mark we would need to continue as we are.
In the meantime, there are going to be some very painful transitions. As I said at the beginning of my rant, if we had true leaders in this country, we would adopt a program immediately to start building nuclear power plants, mass transit, and taxing gasoline to incent people to make the changes they will have to make anyway. Better to phase in the pain rather than get hit over the head with it, as we have in the past year or so. There is only one other country on the planet that will hurt as badly as we will, and that is Australia. The difference is that their leaders have actually acknowledged the challenge and have at least started talking about making changes.
Here, we have arguments over drilling more places. If we were cut off from imports, we would deplete every last drop of oil on US soil and seas in 15 years at the rate we consume it today. That would be drilling ANWR, coasts, and downtown LA. Gone. Every drop. And you can bet our enemies know this.