Quote:
Originally Posted by vahobaco
So Daimler is predicting the fortwo is going to be worth less than 50% of its value in 3 years. That seems shockingly low. For comparison, the Mini Cooper still holds 52% of its value after 5 years.
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You are confusing residual values with resale value. They are not necessarily one in the same. For instance, December BMW FS lease residuals for MINIs range from 50% (JCW cabrio) to 63% (base coupe) for 36 month terms at 15k miles/year (50% for 48 months on the base coupe; much lower than you stated as resale value). Actual resale value may exceed that, but so may actual resale value for the smart. It's too early to tell for the smart, as the car has only been on the market for 24 months.
Financial institutions set residual values at a point where they can be sure to sell the vehicle at a profit after receiving back at the end of the term (even more conservatively set now, since many were caught with their pants down over the last couple years), so "resale value" will typically be higher than residual values.
That said, I don't expect great resale values from the smart unless gas prices spike again. It is a niche product with a very limited audience, not to mention a very short warranty.